Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.124665 1.347951 1.583619 1.849104 2.138154 2.441777 2.783294
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.800761 1.103175 1.445388 1.853594 2.320258 2.830967 3.426277
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.593411 0.919880 1.310580 1.796708 2.371433 3.017388 3.787180
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.436359 0.769588 1.192285 1.740093 2.407898 3.176156 4.108945
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.329950 0.662804 1.109228 1.709164 2.459740 3.339773 4.424190
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.267670 0.605577 1.081276 1.739743 2.580415 3.580369 4.826131
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.211525 0.546314 1.042449 1.749777 2.670598 3.780756 5.177818
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.155754 0.475266 0.978502 1.719887 2.705365 3.910284 5.442313
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.140679 0.472063 1.011490 1.819679 2.905144 4.241441 5.948961
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.128349 0.471394 1.046926 1.922138 3.108235 4.577017 6.461754
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.119896 0.476627 1.090639 2.035861 3.326183 4.931559 6.998488
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.112010 0.481382 1.132886 2.147288 3.541301 5.283105 7.532480
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.089554 0.452108 1.123136 2.190685 3.675999 5.546489 7.975404
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.065065 0.409939 1.088686 2.196895 3.761289 5.749235 8.346940
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.038450 0.347145 1.011188 2.133761 3.748436 5.823908 8.557393
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019822 0.291357 0.937994 2.071468 3.732690 5.892029 8.757601
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.009360 0.250733 0.886307 2.037254 3.751656 6.001340 9.005763
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.005177 0.233709 0.878628 2.071045 3.865171 6.233132 9.407642
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001952 0.211802 0.857900 2.082112 3.945475 6.421007 9.754053
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000124 0.180524 0.812057 2.049116 3.960857 6.522329 9.990191
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.186927 0.851746 2.159200 4.183335 6.898078 10.575793
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000030 0.193873 0.892844 2.271974 4.410200 7.280280 11.170461
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000023 0.203676 0.940893 2.396868 4.655190 7.687178 11.797435